Tag Archives: Donald Trump

After everything, here we go again

The second Trump administration is officially a reality. It is deeply disheartening that a plurality of voters would overlook the chaos and corruption of Donald Trump’s first term, his 34 felony convictions, his liability for sexual assault and, most troubling for our democracy, his violent attempt to overturn the 2020 election to return him to the office for which he is manifestly unfit.

Throughout American history, a percentage of our fellow citizens have been dissatisfied with, or even hostile toward, our ideals and institutions. Sometimes, this discontent simmers on the margins. At other times, like now, it swells into a more significant force.

Even so, this faction rarely represents more than about a third of the population, and the number of true believers is smaller. Yet it’s cold comfort to say that Trump failed to win a majority of the 2024 vote (49.8%) or that only 31.6% of eligible voters actively supported him. Because here we are.

Here we are because some portion of that 31.6% voted for Trump because of what they know about him, not despite it. And because another 34% of eligible voters couldn’t bother to vote at all.

And so, after everything we already know about Donald Trump, here we are.

Since the New Deal ushered in a decadeslong series of economic, social and cultural reforms, reactionary discontent in our politics has often been expressed by a particular brand of conservatism that historian Richard Hofstadter, in a 1954 essay, called “pseudo-conservative.” Unlike classical conservativism, which values stability and the measured stewardship of institutions, pseudo-conservatism is rooted in anxiety about declining social status. It thrives on grievance and nostalgia for an idealized past.

Pseudo-conservatives see themselves as morally true conservatives. They echo conservative language, drape themselves in the flag, invoke the Constitution and call themselves patriots. Yet these self-proclaimed “real Americans” paradoxically embrace authoritarian tendencies and a willingness to dismantle democratic norms. They reject diversity and pluralism, offer few coherent policy solutions (in fact, political incoherence is a defining trait) and channel their energy into retribution. A more accurate term for them might be “revanchists,” a fancy political term derived from the French word “revanche,” meaning “revenge.”

The lineage from pseudo-conservatives to movement conservatives to the tea party and MAGA is unmistakable. To dismiss them as cranks or extremists, however much they might actually be, is to underestimate their enduring influence and diminish the need to effectively counter them. When their interests happen to align with the general disinterest of apolitical swing voters — whose own vague, perpetual disgruntlement with whoever is in power at any given moment has repeatedly shifted congressional control between Republicans and Democrats since 1980 — the nation’s trajectory can change dramatically.

With most newly inaugurated presidents, we have no way of knowing whether they will rise to greatness, falter into failure or settle into mediocrity, trapped by the gravitational pull of William Taft and so many others. With Trump, there is no such uncertainty. We know exactly what we’re getting.

Spite. Disruption. Political nihilism.

Brace yourselves.

Sorry, Grover Cleveland, but company is on its way

Four years ago, I wrote about an odd little historical parallel: Presidential elections from 1980 to 2020 mirrored those from 1788 to 1828. Both periods began with two-term heavyweights (George Washington, Ronald Reagan), moved on to a one-and-done president (John Adams, George H.W. Bush) and gave us three consecutive two-termers (Thomas Jefferson, James Madison, James Monroe; Bill Clinton, George W. Bush, Barack Obama). In 2016 and 2020, Donald Trump paralleled John Quincy Adams, a president who won the White House in 1824 despite losing the popular vote and who failed to secure a second term in 1828.

For this pattern to have continued, Joe Biden needed to serve two terms, like Andrew Jackson, who succeeded J.Q. Adams. By dropping out of the race this summer, Biden brought this parallel to a dead end.

The 76-year period following Jackson, from 1836 to 1912, was a wild ride in presidential history. Only three presidents managed to get reelected, and only Ulysses Grant finished a second term. Abraham Lincoln and William McKinley were both assassinated early in their second terms. A third president, James Garfield, was assassinated before he really even got started, and two others, William Henry Harrison and Zachary Taylor, couldn’t stay alive long enough to leave much of a mark.

Grover Cleveland, the 22nd
and 24th U.S. president

The Whigs came and went, the Know-Nothings had a MAGA-like moment and the Republican Party was born, looking nothing like today’s GOP. The era packed in everything. The Civil War. The failure of Reconstruction (a failure that still haunts this country; “with malice toward none,” my ass, Abe). Genocide. Land grabs. The Gilded Age. Political corruption. Robber barons. Anarchists. Riots. Bombings. Banking panics. And we think we’re living in tumultuous times!

Oh, and tariffs. At least in one respect, Trump’s win propels us from a parallel with the early 19th century straight into a parallel with the late 1800s, when tariffs were a hot-button issue. They were contentious then, they’ll be contentious now. And for the first time since Grover Cleveland, we have a president who was elected to serve nonconsecutive terms.

One more thing: This chaotic era in American history also saw the beginnings of bureaucratic and progressive reforms, starting with Chester Arthur and the Pendleton Act of 1883 and Cleveland, then gaining momentum with Teddy Roosevelt. These reforms would lay the groundwork for FDR, the New Deal, the so-called liberal consensus of the mid-20th century, and the policies and programs over a roughly 40-year period that actually made America greater than it had ever been before – policies conservatives have been longing to dismantle for decades. And now? They’ve never been closer to their goal.